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Three Gorges Dam and High-tech Farming Prevent Food Crisis in Spite of Record Flooding

China has often been subject to catastrophic flooding. Previously such floods, as they have experienced this year, would have led to tens of thousands of deaths, massive loss of farmland and the threat of famine. When China decided at the end of the last century to build the Three Gorges Dam, the largest dam of its kind in the world, there was some controversy. Too big, too expensive, and it wouldn’t help in a major flood, were the common arguments. But today the Three Gorges Dam received its largest contingent of water since it was constructed in 2003, and is continuing to perform. At 8 a.m.the inbound flow reached 75,000 cubic/meters per second.

President Xi is visiting the region in Anhui province further down along the Yangtze. While there has been much flooding and destruction, the loss of life has been minimal and scientific farming, including satellite technology, soil sensors and insect-monitoring lamps, the data of which  are transmitted simultaneously by the Internet of Things to smartphones and computers, have allowed them to mitigate losses. While grain production has from time immemorial and today been the number one issue for Chinese rulers, the devastated flooding will, thanks to technology, not prevent some bumper crops this year along the Yangtze and its tributary rivers.


Uruguay to Announce Formal Entry into Belt and Road Initiative

Aug. 3, 2018-The office of Uruguayan president Tabare Vasquez has announced on its website that it will formally join the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), to be announced officially during the Aug. 20-27 “Uruguay Week in China” to be celebrated in the Chinese cities of Beijing, Guangzhou and Conqing.

Although the Uruguayans claim they are the “first” Ibero-American nation to officially join the BRI, both Panama and the Dominican Republic, which established diplomatic relations
with China during the past year, also claim to be the “first” in joining the BRI. Undoubtedly there will be many more “firsts”!

Uruguay’s Foreign Ministry and the Uruguay XXI trade promotion office are organizing the “Uruguay Week in China” event, and foreign minister Nin Novoa will lead the delegation
participating in it. Uruguay XXI’s director, Antonio Carambula, stressed that during the Aug. 20-27 events, “we will be presenting Uruguay as a nation of great investment opportunities
…. but also thinking of the possibilities of expanding to the rest of the region,” according to the montevideo.comwebsite.

Following the August events, Uruguay will send another large delegation to Shanghai, to attend the Nov. 5-10 China International Import Expo, hosted by the Chinese Commerce Ministry and the Shanghai municipal government. This is a huge affair, at which representatives of at least 100 countries are expected to attend. Several Ibero-American governments and companies have already committed to attending, and the Chinese continue to organize for this aggressively around the world.

(Chinese imports are in fact growing significantly faster than its exports now; a 21% annual pace in the first half of 2018, as opposed to 10% annual rate of growth in exports.) Also taking place in November in the city of Zhuhai is the China-Latin America-Caribbean Business Forum, which Uruguay hosted last year, and is another very large event including Chinese and Ibero-American businessmen and government officials. Later in November, Carambula announced, the “icing on the cake” will be Chinese president Xi Jinping’s state visit to Uruguay following the G20 meeting.


First Arab Nuclear Power Plant Now on the Grid

Unit 1 of the UAE’s Barakah plant — the Arab world’s first nuclear energy plant — has connected to the national power grid, in a historic moment enabling it to provide cleaner electricity to millions of residents and help reduce the oil-rich country’s reliance on fossil fuels. “This is a major milestone, we’ve been planning for this for the last 12 years now,” Mohamed Al Hammadi, CEO of Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation (ENEC), told CNBC’s Dan Murphy in an exclusive interview ahead of the news.

Unit 1 is the first of what will eventually be four reactors, which when fully operational are expected to provide 25% of the UAE’s electricity and reduce its carbon emissions by 21 million tons a year, according to ENEC. That’s roughly equivalent to the carbon emissions of 3.2 million cars annually.

The Gulf country of nearly 10 million is the newest member of a group of now 31 countries running nuclear power operations. It’s also the first new country to launch a nuclear power plant in three decades, the last being China in 1990.

“The UAE has been growing from an electricity demand standpoint,”  Al Hammadi said. “That’s why we are trying to meet the demand (and) at the same time have it with less carbon emissions.”

The UAE’s electricity mix will continue to include gas and renewable energy, with “the baseload from nuclear,” the CEO added, which he described as a “safe, clean and reliable source of electricity” for the country.

The project is also providing “highly compensated jobs” for the Emiratis and will introduce new industries for the country’s economy, Al Hammadi said. The company noted that it has awarded roughly 2,000 contracts worth more than $4.8 billion for local companies.


Webcast: Dialogue, Not War!

The BRICS summit last week in South Africa demonstrated how far the New Silk Road spirit has spread, shaping relations between nations on the basis of mutual benefit. Under the leadership of China’s Xi, Russia’s Putin, and India’s Modi, both the official proceedings of the BRICS and the bilateral discussions which occurred during the summit showed that a new era of peaceful cooperation has emerged. Will the Trans-Atlantic nations join it, or follow the British imperial geopoliticians to sabotage it, using assassinations, regime change and general warfare to do so?

The “Singapore model,” of dialogue instead of war, which was created when President Donald Trump met with North Korean President Kim Jong-un, and then continued in the Trump-Putin Helsinki summit, has been under intense assault. The Fake News media have been deriding the results and denouncing the participants, Trump and Putin, while neo-cons and neo-libs in both U.S. political parties and in mainstream European parties are engaging in schemes to shut down the process. Unfortunately for them, the significant meeting between Trump and new Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte cemented an alliance between the two nations, in opposition to the Trans-Atlantic status quo, and in the press conference afterwards, may have opened a new possibility to apply the Singapore model.

Asked whether he would speak to Iran’s leaders, Trump said “I’ll meet with anybody….There’s nothing wrong with meeting….. I’m ready to meet anytime they want to…. I think it’s an appropriate thing to do.” While there are still obstacles to overcome for a resolution to be achieved between the U.S. and Iran, Trump’s sentiment is a step forward. When it comes to matters of war and peace, dialogue is preferable to war, which can overcome the problems created by the geopoliticians, who clearly prefer war.

Helga Zepp LaRouche said the year 2018 should be the year in which humanity rejects forever the geopoliticians’ model, based on pitting each against all, to protect the interests of the Empire. She will speak on the most recent developments, and the road ahead, this Thursday. Be sure to “tune in.”


Building a Worldwide “Chorus of Voices” for a Great Power Summit to Implement LaRouche’s Solution to the Crisis

Schiller Institute founder Helga Zepp-LaRouche delivered the keynote address to an August 15, Spanish-language international videoconference organized by the Schiller Institute for the nations of Ibero-America and Spain, as part of the drive to build a worldwide chorus of voices calling for a summit of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council to meet in September to address the systemic crisis facing the planet. The highly-successful event had over 500 live participants in its two panels, and an archived version of Panel I, including Zepp-LaRouche’s speech, has already had over 30,000 views.

The event, titled “Towards a World Summit of Powers in September: The LaRouche Plan for a New Economic and Security Architecture for the Planet,” demonstrated the real thirst in the population for a full change in paradigm.

Moderator Dennis Small introduced the session by stating that the videoconference was meant as a “feeder event” to the upcoming Sept. 5-6 international SI conference. He noted that what we mean by a new architecture, should be viewed from the standpoint of Leibniz, who wrote in his “Principles of Nature”: “Our soul is architectonic also in its voluntary actions and in discovering the sciences according to which God has regulated things.

In its own realm and in the small world in which it is allowed to act, the soul imitates what God performs in the great world.” The English-language video of Zepp-LaRouche’s keynote can be found on this webpage. The two panels were as follows:

Panel I: “Towards a New International Security Architecture”
1) Helga Zepp-LaRouche (Germany), founder and President, Schiller Institute: “Happiness Is a Human Right for All Humanity”
2) Víctor Cortizo (Spain), lawyer, Professor, International Relations. Francisco de Vitoria University, Vice-President, Cátedra China: “Spain, a Bridge of the New Silk Road
3) Daniel Estulin (Russia), author: “Could Lyndon LaRouche’s Vision of a Space Imperative Become Reality?”
4) Walter Formento (Argentina), Director, Center for Political and Economic Research: “Real economic, science and technology from South America for the development of a new multi-polar world”
5) José Antonio Benllochpiquer (Peru), President, Christian Democratic Party: “Peru and the new international architecture”

Panel II: “Towards a New International Economic Architecture”
1) Jacques Cheminade (France), president, Solidarité et Progres: “The LaRouche Plan to Defeat the Pandemic, and its Causes”
2) Justo Vargas (Perú). Amazon Integration Network: “The Inter-Oceanic Railroad and the Development of the Amazon Region”
3) Carolina Domínguez (Mexico), International LaRouche Youth Movement: “If You Want to Educate Presidents to Demand a P-5 Summit, Build a Youth Movement”
4) Marco Méndez (México), Vice-president of the Mexican Union of Associations of Engineers: “Infrastructure as an element of development”
5) Dennis Small (U.S.), EIR Ibero-American Editor: “Why It Is Urgent to Exonerate Lyndon LaRouche and His Ideas”
6) Alberto Vizcarra (Mexico), Coordinator, Citizens’ Movement for Water: “The Time Has Come to Imitate Roosevelt”
7) Pedro Rubio (Colombia), President of the Association of Workers of the National Comptrollers Agency: “The Vernadsky Indicator: How to Double Food Production”

During the course of the event, greetings were presented from Mexicans Francisco Roman, of the Democratic Cardenista Peasant Center, and business leader Rafael Nava; as well as General Edwin de la Fuente, former Commander-in-Chief of Bolivia’s Armed Forces. It reads as follows: “Every effort to engage in dialogue in a world that is threatened as never before, cannot but be seen as hopeful, and more than that, as a light at the end of the tunnel. The planet has never before generated such wealth, and yet in
contradiction, such poverty for the great majorities. I am grateful for this great initiative, knowing that a [P5] summit could arrive at a happy agreement for world peace. I congratulate the Schiller Institute, its members, and its leader, the indefatigable Helga Zepp-LaRouche for this marvelous work on behalf of better days for all of humanity.”

TRANSCRIPT:

HELGA ZEPP-LAROUCHE: Let me greet you here from Germany. Obviously, this event is taking place at an unprecedented moment in history. If you look at the world situation in its complexity today, I think you will agree that we are confronted with a situation which is really beyond the comprehension of people only a couple of months ago. We are confronted with a pandemic. This pandemic is not yet under control by any means. We have, as a consequence of that pandemic, an incredible economic collapse. Some people say the largest since the end of World War II. Dennis mentioned already that especially in the developing countries, where 60% of all people have been working in the informal economy — meaning that they’re living from hand-to-mouth — when you have a lockdown, people are immediately threatened in their lives with starvation. Then naturally, we have the danger of a famine, which is becoming all the more great because of a collapse of agriculture. In Africa and Asia, many countries are threatened with a locust plague; again, the likes of which has not been seen for several decades. Naturally, you have the danger of the lack of, or a phenomenon that in many countries in the world, the people have lost the trust in their governments, in their leading institutions. Because in many parts of the world, the people don’t feel that these governments represent their interests in the face of this crisis.

That’s why we have been thinking, where should the solution come from under these extraordinary circumstances? Can it come from protests, demonstrations? Obviously not. Can it come from the existing institutions — the G7, the G20? Well, that is very unlikely. My late husband Lyndon LaRouche had campaigned for many years for the idea that in order to defeat the powers that be, which are responsible for this crisis, this is the British Empire located in the City of London, and Wall Street, and naturally their collaborators around the world. In order to have a power against that which can change the agenda and establish a new system, you need the four most powerful nations of the world to unite — the United States, China, Russia, and hopefully India.

Given the fact that you have right now rising tensions between the United States and China, where all kinds of reasons are being given. China supposedly wants to take over the world; China being responsible for the pandemic. In reality, it is the rise of China to become a leading power if not the leading power in the world, not actually threatening to replace the United States as a hegemon. But nevertheless, we are on the verge of a potential war between the two largest economies; the United States and China. This is why the question of where should the solution come from in these circumstances. I issued a call in the beginning of January of this year that it must be minimally the United States, Russia, and China to overcome geopolitics and establish common rules to meet the challenges which confront all of mankind.

A few days later, President Putin of Russia independently of that, called for a summit of the Permanent Five countries of the UN Security Council to have a discussion and work out principles for how to guarantee the long-term survival of civilization; how to give the world principles so that the dangers which we confront right now can be overcome.

Before I come to the point of what needs to be done to accomplish that, and one of the purposes of this conference is to bring together all the countries from Latin America and the Spanish-speaking world to play a role in that. Because I think what is needed to accomplish that is a chorus of international voices; of governments, of individuals, of institutions all working together to demand that this crisis needs a solution from the top. We need to have a complete change of the system. Let me review quickly who we are, since many people are on this program as participants or viewers who may not be aware about the crucial role the LaRouche organization and Lyndon LaRouche played in this fight.

Given the fact that we have today the very famous date of the 15th of August, this is not only Ferragosto in Italy, but it is also the day when, 49 years ago, President Nixon ended the old Bretton Woods system as it was established in the postwar period. He decoupled the dollar from gold; he ended the system of fixed exchange rates and replaced them with floating exchange rates. Not many people, if any, recognized what was the historical significance of that move. My late husband Lyndon LaRouche, who was absolutely studying the systemic flaws of the Bretton Woods system as it existed before, because when Franklin D Roosevelt had died, and the actual Bretton Woods system was not carried out as he had intended, but it was more designed by Churchill and Truman, who was really a little man completely influenced by Churchill. It left out the most important aspect; namely, that Roosevelt had intended that the Bretton Woods system should overcome the underdevelopment of the developing countries and increase the living standard of the entire world population, as the precondition for peace and a stable order for the postwar period. That was left out, and therefore, when Nixon made these moves, my husband immediately recognized what was the direction of the powers that be of the City of London, of the Wall Street financial powers. He said that if you continue on this path, that is, to implement monetarist policies, then you will have the danger of fascism, the danger of a new depression, the danger of war. Or, you will establish a completely different new, just world economic order.

He also immediately recognized that the policies conducted by the IMF at that moment and the World Bank — the infamous conditionalities — basically denying the developing countries to invest in health systems, infrastructure, and education systems. So, he commissioned a Biological Holocaust Taskforce, which had the task to investigate what would be the impact of these policies of the IMF on developing countries. He said, after having done intensive studies, that this was bringing about the danger of pandemics, because you cannot lower the living standard of entire continents over a long period of time without inviting the re-emergence of old diseases and the development of new pandemics.

He immediately started to provide solutions. One of the most existential, fundamental solutions he proposed was actually on April 27, 1975, where after a trip he had taken to Iraq, where he had met with many leaders of developing countries, he made a press conference in Bonn [West Germany], and he proposed the formation of the International Development Bank which was to replace the IMF. That concept would have worked, and immediately people associated with Lyndon LaRouche all over the world started to discuss that with the Non-Aligned Movement for one entire year. This proposal would have established an international development bank which would have provided $400 billion in credit every year in long-term, low-interest credit for well-defined projects of industrialization in Africa, in Latin America, in Asia. And it would have started the kind of technology transfer which, given the fact that this is now 45 years ago, if implemented would have meant that you indeed would have blossoming gardens in all of these continents. That idea was absolutely well-received by the countries of the Non-Aligned Movement, who, in their final resolution in Colombo, Sri Lanka, in 1976, basically took that entire proposal and adopted it. That was three-quarters of the human race saying, “We want a New World Economic Order.”

At that time, the Foreign Minister of Guyana, Fred Wills, presented this proposal to the UN General Assembly in New York. There was widespread support for it, and it could have been implemented. Well, it was not because you had the biggest backlash from the City of London, from the British Empire — which is essentially all the central banks, investment banks, insurance companies, hedge funds, and generally the military-industrial complex associated with these financial powers. And you had the biggest destabilization against Indira Gandhi, against Mrs. [Sirimavo] Bandaranaike from Sri Lanka. Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, the Prime Minister of Pakistan, was killed. As Henry Kissinger stated, which we published at the time, through documents that are unchallenged to the present day, Kissinger said, “We will make a bloody example of Bhutto,” because he challenged this present system. Also, President Gen. Juan Velasco Alvarado from Peru was destabilized.

But my husband and his movement, we started to continue this fight. The first comprehensive development plan for Africa, we presented in a big conference in Paris in 1976. In 1975 already, my husband proposed a development plan for Southwest Asia, which was called the Oasis Plan. This was the idea to develop new forms of water through nuclear energy desalination of large quantities of ocean water. Of using other modern technologies as they are used right now in Israel and some of the Gulf states. Then in the following period, in 1982, my husband was invited by López Portillo to come to the defense of Mexico when the peso was under attack, and huge amounts of capital flight took place. He wrote a program for the entire development of Latin America, called Operation Juárez, which, like the Africa plan, started from the assumption that both Africa and Latin America had no infrastructure to speak of, due to the colonialist tradition. So, basically, the first step of the industrialization of these two continents would have been the development of large-scale infrastructure ports, railway, integrated with highways, production of energy, distribution of energy, communications systems; all as the precondition for a real industrial development and the industrialization of agriculture.

In 1982, we also worked with Prime Minister Indira Gandhi from India, on a 40-year development plan for India, which she started to implement until she was assassinated. It was continued by her son, Rajiv Gandhi, and in a certain sense, that same idea of bringing technology transfer to the developing countries was also the core idea of the Strategic Defense Initiative, which my husband had worked on, which was then adopted by the Reagan Administration. Which was a revolutionary concept to dissolve the military blocs of NATO and the Warsaw Pact; develop new technologies to make nuclear weapons obsolete; use the new technologies from the military area in civilian applications as a gigantic science driver and use that to increase the productivity of the world economy and then have a technology transfer to the developing countries; and stop using these countries as proxy partners in wars between the superpowers.

This policy was continued with Lyn’s and my proposal for what to do after the collapse of the Soviet Union; namely, to build a Eurasian Land-Bridge connecting the populations and industrial powers of Europe with those of Asia. And use that New Silk Road to connect with all these other development projects.

These were very concrete projects. They could have been implemented by the European nations, by the United States, by the Asian industrialized countries like Japan. But they decided to go in the opposite direction. Already in the beginning of the 1970s at the same time my husband was talking about the New World Economic Order, Kissinger wrote something called NSSM-200, which was the idea that any kind of development of the developing sector had to be stopped; especially population-rich countries. They should be “encouraged” (to put it diplomatically) to reduce their populations through birth control, through limited access to raw materials, because these raw materials would belong to the United States, according to Kissinger. At the same time, the Club of Rome launched this incredible campaign about the so-called limits to growth. Which was a complete fraudulent computer model, where the end result was programmed first — namely that you had to stop growth and go to zero-growth in order to then say that all countries had to go for Green ideas, for zero-growth. That was really the beginning of this very negative ecology movement which is now dominating much of Europe, and which is also prevalent in the Democratic Party in the United States, and among some other circles.

At the same time, the U.S. Federal Reserve, from about 1973 on, started to push the idea of a controlled disintegration of the world economy. This was pushed by the Trilateral Commission and implemented by the Carter administration from 1977 on. That whole thing was really an effort to basically bring the world back under the control of the British Empire; keep the Third World in a colonial status; and run the world increasingly under the control of the Anglo-American establishment or the Anglo-American special relationship. That factor, of the Anglo-American control of the world, is something every patriot and every world citizen of the world should study. There is no better way than to look at what Kissinger actually said when he, on May 10th, 1982, went to Chatham House in London and actually bragged that he was de facto always working, that he always put the interests of the British much better than informing his own government. He really revealed himself as a British agent and pointed to the role of the British manipulation of U.S. policy ever since.

My husband, in reaction to that blatant admission of Kissinger that he was de facto working as an agent of this Empire, caused him to write an absolutely profound article called “The Toynbee Factor in British Grand Strategy”, which I would advise every participant of this conference to study and read, because it explains a lot of what is going wrong in the world today. It describes as the Toynbee factor the manipulation of the American establishment, but also the population. How to turn the population into hedonistic people who follow their impulses, and how to cause an estrangement of the citizen from a rational comprehension of the major national policy issues which really determine their lives and their futures.

It was that policy which was implemented after the collapse of the Soviet Union by the neo-cons in the United States — the Project for a New American Century — to try to create a unipolar world. Once the Soviet Union had disappeared, the need to keep up the technological progress to be combative with the Soviet military, after that disappeared, this oligarchy went fully in the direction of deregulation of the financial system, the abolishment of Glass-Steagall, and naturally, after Glass-Steagall was abandoned, China was invited to join the WTO with the absolute expectation that that would lead to China adopting the values of the Western liberal economic system of Western democracy. And the dream or utopia of Fukuyama, the American historian, about the end of history, would be implemented; that the whole world would be submissive under the control of this system of the British Empire by just submitting to the rules of that system. At that time also, the Green agenda was escalated, which later was announced as the great transformation of the world economy. The decarbonization, the elimination of first nuclear energy, then all fossil fuels, which has, to the present day, completely influenced many countries. Especially if you look at the EU, that policy has been adopted absolutely, almost completely.

There was one problem. China and many developing countries recognized that under this system, they would not have a chance. So, following the Asia crisis in 1997, but especially after the big financial crisis of 2008, led China to start a completely different policy. Already with Deng Xiaoping’s opening and reform policy after 1979, China had started to go on a policy of scientific and technological progress, of innovation, and uplifting with that policy 850 million people of its own population out of poverty; creating a very vast growing middle class, where the living standard became better and better. Then, in 2013, Xi Jinping announced in Kazakhstan, the New Silk Road. The idea to revive the spirit of the ancient Silk Road of connecting the Eurasian continent through the exchange of ideas, of cultures, of goods, of technologies. That policy was first absolutely neglected by the mainstream media and the think tanks of the West. But China continued to do that, and it started to offer that model of overcoming its own underdevelopment, to the developing sector, and started to build six major infrastructure corridors. Building infrastructure, railroads, in Africa, in Asia, in Latin American countries. This basically would have worked, because it was not geopolitically motivated, but China offered from the very beginning for this to be a win-win policy; inviting the United States and European countries and everybody else to participate in this New Silk Road conception.

This functioned to a certain extent quite well, but then from about 2018 onward, all of a sudden, all major think tanks from the Western countries started to paint China as an authoritarian regime, Xi Jinping as a dictator, China only wanting to replace the United States as the world hegemon. This was expressed in the first security doctrine of the United States in 2018 — the National Security Strategy Paper. The first major such speech was given by Vice President Pence, and followed by speeches to this effect by [FBI head] Christopher Wray, by [National Security Advisor] O’Brien, by Mike Pence, by [Secretary of State] Pompeo — who made several speeches to this effect. Portraying China as the big danger. Ever since, the military tensions have escalated in the South China Sea, along the Chinese coast. This is becoming quite dangerous to world peace. It should be clear to anybody that if the two largest economies in the world start to clash, the danger that this will get out of control and in the worst case, even lead to a nuclear war and the extinction of civilization is a very real danger. Which many people are aware of; which the Russians are aware of.

That is why we have demanded that the policy must be radically changed. If you look at the present combination of problems, we are in an existential crisis of civilization. Only if the major powers work together can we have any hope to solve it, because even if you take the industrial capacity of all countries together, it is not quite sufficient to solve it. So, what we are proposing, therefore, is that we have to orchestrate the situation so that every country starts to discuss as if they are the ones who can determine the outcome of this history. There will be, in all likelihood, hopefully this P-5 summit in September, and it must be way ahead of the U.S. election because if you don’t change the parameters before, the danger is that there will be chaos, an escalation of the pandemic, and provocations of all kinds as we have seen in many parts of the world, which may escalate. What this summit of the permanent five countries [of the UN Security Council] must adopt is a New Bretton Woods system. A new credit system which connects to what Franklin D Roosevelt had in mind when he proposed his version of the Bretton Woods system, and what Lyndon LaRouche has worked out in great detail over the decades. This New Bretton Woods system must replace the casino economy, re-implement Glass-Steagall banking separation, must establish a national bank in every country. And then, through agreements among these national banks, establish a new credit system.

Because it’s not the coronavirus which causes this pandemic. The proof of that is that China succeeded, between January and March, in two months of very rigorous methods of isolating, of tracing, of quarantine, of social distancing, of having built 22 hospitals in a few weeks, they were able to contain the virus, and practically bring it under control in Hubei province, and China was able to restart its economy, after they had defeated the pandemic.

Now, just imagine if every country would have a health system like China was able to mobilize; or just imagine that every country — Mexico, Haiti, Peru, and all the other countries — Mali — they all would have capabilities like China or like it used to be the case with the Hill-Burton standard in the United States, or as the German and French health systems were before the privatization of the health systems started, you could have stopped the pandemic! It never would have become a pandemic!

So the problem is not that China announced this too late. I mean, remember that China announced it some time at the end of January, that it was a pandemic, but then most Western governments, like the German government, they waited for weeks and weeks before they got the production of masks and ventilators and other equipment. So it was not China not informing the world, it was the arrogance of the Western countries to not think that it could ever arrive in their countries, like the German Health Minister Jens Spahn said, “Oh, this virus will never come to Germany.” What foolishness!

So if every country, therefore, would start to build, with the international cooperation, such modern health systems, hospitals, training medical personnel, increasing the number of doctors and nurses, you could actually not only contain this pandemic, but the danger of new pandemics which are absolutely around the corner at any moment. So, if you want to make the human race safe, the building of such a world system is the absolute first step. Naturally, you cannot build hospitals and have the necessary equipment without water, without energy, without infrastructure, so the building of the new health system must become the beginning of the construction of a new world economic order, and the kind of development which I was talking about we have been fighting for, for almost 50 years. And now, because of the Belt and Road Initiative, the New Silk Road perspective is an absolute possibility to be realized, and we have to get the United States and the European countries to stop their geopolitical opposition to that, but to join hands.

I think that all the countries in the world will be judged by future history — if we have one — by how they reacted to this crisis. And if they have the greatness to overcome their petty geopolitical concerns and join hands to work on this question of the new world economic order. The question is: Can we create a world in which human beings can live? Now, Xi Jinping, some years ago, I think it was at a big party convention, announced a plan for China, by the year 2050, where he said that by 2050 China should be a modern country, democratic, culturally advanced, the people of China should live a happy life, and that model should also exist happiness for all nations on this planet.

Now, I think that this idea of happiness is a fundamental human right of all human beings. It just happens to be in the Declaration of Independence, where it basically says, that the right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness is what is an inalienable right for all people. And when the Schiller Institute was founded 36 years ago, I was looking around in all the documents, to think what would be the best charter for the Schiller Institute. And I found that this Declaration of Independence was one of the best documents to express what should be the purpose of the Schiller Institute’s efforts. And I changed only a few words, maybe six words, to replace the “American colony” with “all countries” and the “British Empire” making it applicable for all countries in the world. And I think that this idea, that we have to have economic development and make sure that every single human being has the right to happiness, meaning in the tradition of Leibniz, not a good life, a happy moment for the hour, but to be able to develop all potentialities which are in each human person, to develop all creative potentials so that each human being can contribute in the best way to the development of the common good of society as a whole, and all of mankind, and in that way, be in correspondence to the harmonic ordering of the universe, by increasing the level of creativity, not only of the human mankind, but of the laws of the universe at large.

That idea of a harmonic development of all nations, that if every single nation develops their potential and regards it as their self-interest to develop the self-interest of the other one, is also already existing as a concept in Nikolaus of Cusa, who said that harmony in the world can only exist if you have the best possible development of all microcosms, as a precondition for harmony in the macrocosm. In other words, the idea of Franklin D. Roosevelt that all human beings must have a better living standard, be free of the wants, especially of material want, is the precondition for peace. And I think this is eminently possible, because if we now would unite, and say, we have to — in light of the pandemic, the economic crisis, the famine, the danger of war, — we have to join hands and develop Southwest Asia, which has been destroyed by wars for 20 years of meaningless, endless wars, which have killed millions of people, leaving the countries destroyed; Africa, which is absolutely smashed right now by the combination of these crises; Latin America, which is not able to cope with this crisis on its own; that it is the moral obligation for the leaders of the world to change this situation right now. And that can also, then, become the basis, if all countries work together on such a new world economic order, for an integrative, new security architecture. Because only if you have a common economic interest, is there any hope that you can have a security architecture which will integrate every single country.

Now, the big mistake after the collapse of the Soviet Union, was that no effort was made to integrate Russia into such an international architecture, and naturally, the present threat to decouple China and the countries which are associated with China, from the present economic system, is absolutely detrimental to world peace, and it should be replaced by the idea that the future of humanity must be a new system of international relationships, where the sovereignty of every country is respected, the different social security system is respect, and countries are working together for the common aims of mankind, such as a crash program for the realization of fusion power, international cooperation in space, and to establish the common aims for the next hundred years of the human species.

Now, I think the gravity of the crisis makes such a vision absolutely realizable. We want the five permanent powers of the UN Security Council to adopt, in principle, such an orientation. China has offered, repeatedly, as recently as a week ago, to the United States to cooperate on the fight against the pandemic; Russia has offered cooperation in the development of the distribution of the vaccines, and making sure the whole world has access to it in the quickest possible way; so there are these offers. And I think in order to realize this, making a complete break, a new paradigm, it needs a chorus of international voices who have to express their absolute desire and need to go in this direction.

I think this is an absolute necessity, but I think it’s also absolutely realizable, because we are in a world revolution. The old system is absolutely not to be saved, or cannot be saved, and the whole question is, can humanity, in time, can we give ourselves an order which guarantees the long-term survivability of our species? And that is what I wanted to tell you, and where I’m asking you to cooperate.

Question 1: Do you have an explanation of why President Trump is under such attack in the international media?

ZEPP-LAROUCHE: Yes, we do. I think the problem is that Trump has again and again shown that he has good impulses, he wants to definitely improve the relationship with Russia: he has demonstrated that in his summit with Putin in Helsinki very clearly, that if you have two Presidents, I think they can solve any problem. This is why we are pushing so hard to have this summit. Because the problem is that Trump is really surrounded by a nest of scoundrels: Pompeo, Esper, Navarro, all of these people are really neocons of the worst kind. Some of them are evangelicals, like Pompeo, who believes — who has said publicly he believes in the Rapture; which means if there’s an Armageddon, that’s not so bad because he believes that some of these people, that he belongs to the people who will be saved. I personally think he’s an Elmer Gantry — I don’t know if people know this movie [based on a novel by Sinclair Lewis].

I think the only way how you free Trump from the influence of British intelligence — obviously, in the P5 you have Great Britain, which always was a problem, but I think that if you have the three important countries, the U.S., Russia, and China — with Macron somehow wanting to improve relations, at least with Russia, and he says he does with China — I think there is a fighting chance. I think the three leaders, Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping, when they have the chance to talk about matters directly, I’m absolutely convinced that of all the many options, this is the only one, but it has to occur long before the election, because this anti-China dynamic has to be interrupted. I think it’s very dangerous, because if you paint an enemy-image, where you say China is responsible for the pandemic, for the incredible economic damage, for the evictions — I think this is creating an environment where, then, other developments which could occur in the South China Sea, or around Taiwan, have the potential of really creating a big confrontation.

So that is why I’m appealing so much, that every government, every individual, every institution, should really support this summit publicly. We have prepared a resolution which hopefully you will use after this webinar, and help to spread it in all of these countries. Because I think that if we could generate a chorus of governments, institutions, and concern people, to address the participants in this summit ahead of time, it can help to orchestrate an environment. It will be a big battle, but the summit is the only chance I see between now and the U.S. election, to have an impact, to change the present constellation. And that’s what my deepest conviction is.

Question 2: Please discuss your concept of a Dialogue of Classical Civilizations.

ZEPP-LAROUCHE: I’m absolutely convinced that if people would just know the other culture, all the problems would disappear. Naturally, there are always some evil people who you will never be able to convince — that is an absolute minority.

I have made the experience that when you introduce Confucius to a European or American audience, they get completely excited. Benjamin Franklin was absolutely a follower of Confucius: He modeled his own moral theory on Confucian teaching. And in the same way, when you discuss what Confucius had to say about music, it is absolutely to the point that the kind of music one plays tells you if a society is healthy or in disorder.

In the same way, why is it that all these many Asians, but also naturally, Chinese, are absolutely excited about European classical music? Because they recognize that you can find in the other culture, and vice versa, always something which enriches you. So I think what all of you can help to do, is to set up a dialogue of culture; we can help you to organize musical concerts, dialogue of civilization where each nation brings the best compositions, the most beautiful poems, the most encouraging paintings. The Literati painting in Chinese tradition, for example, has the unity of poetry, painting and calligraphy: And I have seen, repeatedly, that if people see that for the first time, they all of a sudden understand what a metaphor is.

So I think the best thing which can be done right now, to counter this incredible anti-China propaganda — which really is the worst of McCarthyism, and “yellow peril” and all these horrible racist ideas from the past are coming back and being stirred up — The best really is to show the beauty of the other culture. I would encourage all of you who are watching this program, that you should participate. We can set up cultural events, we can further the dialogue of culture, even if it will not be like a live concert, but I think with the limitation of Zoom and other technologies, it also has the advantage that you can communicate with people. And start doing it, you haven’t even thought about doing that before the outbreak of the pandemic.

So I would suggest, anybody who wants to be part of the solution, that you become active with us, in setting up these kinds of dialogues of culture. And we have many, many collaborators in the Schiller Institute in all these countries, who can help to bring the best pearls of each cultures to the knowledge of all others, and that should occur immediately.

Closing Remarks

ZEPP-LAROUCHE: Actually, there was a lot of discussion about the City of London and Wall Street. And I think what is becoming clearer and clearer, is that this system which really accelerated after ’71, after Nixon abandoned the old Bretton Woods system, has become a real, criminal system: And I really mean “criminal.” Just take the case of the Wirecard scandal in Germany: Here you had a case where it now looks, many banks and parts of the government, they all knew that this was a ripoff! And they did not do anything about it! Then think about the LIBOR scandal, where three-digit billions were defrauded from people. Think about the Panama Papers scandal, the Madoff scandal, the Ponzi schemes — and I could add a lot of things. Most banks already have reserves to pay the fines, because it’s already prediscounted, that some of their criminal operations will be caught.

And I think that this system is morally at the end, it’s totally bankrupt, and the idea that you need to reform this system is really something every single person can understand. And if you add to that, the way the cartels are moving, how credits are being given, how the certification is occurring, so they’re trying to control everything against production, for speculation, and therefore, for a totally, thoroughly criminal system.

I think we have to spread the news about that much, much more, and more people will understand that we need a banking system which is not controlled by the City of London, but a national bank in every country, and that we need to move towards this idea of a of a New Bretton Woods system very, very quickly.

So I think that there is an incredible chance. I think people can improve, you can decide, you improve on the spot; the aesthetical education in Confucianism, in Schiller’s Aesthetic Letters, it shows you how you can enable yourself to play a bigger role in this present historical conjuncture. And I thank you all very much. It was a real pleasure to get to know you better. And I also hope that we can continue our collaboration in a very intensive way in the next period.


Russian U.N. Ambassador Offers International Cooperation on COVID-19 Vaccines

Vasily Nebenzia, Russia’s ambassador to the United Nation’s, told the U.N. Security Council that “We are ready for international cooperation with all interested partners in the development and production of vaccines and treatments to ensure a coordinated global response to the spread of Covid-19 and a common victory over the pandemic.” Nenbenzia’s remarks came after Russia’s announcement of their “Sputnik V” vaccine. RT reported that Nebenzia said that clinical trials have already shown it to be both safe and highly effective, and noted that other “promising” vaccines were being developed in Russia as well.

RT commented: “Some Western governments have disparaged the Russian achievement, demanding to see evidence of the vaccine’s safety, even as their own pharmaceutical companies have required absolute immunity from liability lawsuits over potential adverse effects.”


Xi Jinping to BRICS Business Forum: “New Type of International Relations” Needed

July 25 –Speaking today in Johannesburg to the BRICS Business Forum, Chinese President Xi Jinping laid out the choices before his audience, stressing that “the international community has reached a new crossroads,” while especially emphasizing the role the BRICS must play in ensuring the development of Africa. Will the world choose cooperation or confrontation? he asked, sounding many of the themes that Schiller Institute President Helga Zepp-LaRouche has recently emphasized about whether humanity will rise to the occasion to ensure Africa’s development and fight for “a new type of international relations and a shared future for mankind.”

Xi focused on several points, chief among them the the need to develop and protect a multilateral world, in which all countries have the right to develop, pursuit of science and technology to “seize” development opportunities, and pursuit of the Belt and Road Initiative, “to create new opportunities of social and economic development for participating countries… It is our sincere hope that other BRICS countries, African countries and other emerging markets and developing countries, will forge strong partnerships with this Initiative so that its benefits will reach more countries and its peoples.” He also outlined China’s own contributions to world peace and development.

The Chinese leader placed great emphasis on the pursuit of science and technology as a driver for economic development. “Science and technology, as the primary production forces, have provided inexhaustible power, driving progress of human civilization. Humanity had made giant leaps forward as it progressed from an agricultural civilization to an industrial civilization.” And, “the world today has once again reached a critical historic juncture. In the unfolding new round of scientific and technological revolution and industrial transformation, new things will inevitably emerge and take the place of old ones… if countries succeed in seizing opportunities that have presented themselves, they will be able to achieve new dynamic growth and deliver better lives to their people.”

And Africa? Xi pointed to the fact that Africa is home “to more developing countries than any other continent, Africa has more development potential than any other region in the world. We should strengthen cooperation with Africa, support its development and make BRICS-Africa cooperation a model for South-South cooperation. We should actively carry out cooperation with African countries in such areas as poverty reduction, food security, innovation, infrastructure development and industrialization in a way compatible with their national conditions. We should help African countries develop their economic structure, contribute to the implementation of Agenda 2063 of the African Union and thus enable Africa, an ancient continent, to gain strong vitality.”

China and African countries, Xi said, “are destined to be good friends, good brothers and good partners, and China-Africa cooperation stands as a fine example of South-South cooperation.” He pointed out that the September summit in Beijing of the Forum on China-African Cooperation, titled “China and Africa: Toward an Even Stronger Community with a Shared Future through Win-Win Cooperation,” intends to “enhance complementarity between China-Africa joint efforts to pursue the Belt and Road Initiative, the 2030 Agenda and the 2063 Agenda on the one hand and the development strategies of African countries on the other. This will enable China and Africa to pursue high quality and high standard cooperation for mutual benefit and common development.”

In concluding, Xi recalled that 2018 marks the centennial of the birth of the revered South African leader Nelson Mandela. Reciting one of Mandela’s famous sayings, “After climbing a great hill, one only finds that there are many more hills to climb,” he remarked that this should serve as inspiration for the BRICS. “Indeed, the history of BRICS cooperation is a journey of our five countries climbing great hills only to reach new heights. I am convinced that when our five countries forge ahead together, we will scale new peaks, reach new heights, and make even greater contribution to peace and development of mankind.”


Global Silk Road Forum Will Be Held in Astana in July

April 1 -On July 3-4, 2018, Astana, Kazakhstan, will host the forum “Global Silk Road,” Director of the International Secretariat G-Global Serik Nugerbekov confirmed. “This forum is devoted to the 5th anniversary of the One Belt, One Road initiative and the 20th anniversary of Astana,” he told the round table “Kazakhstan and China in the New Epoch of Interaction” at the Kazakh Embassy in China, Kazinform reported on March 28. He said that the Global Silk Road Forum agenda will include a forum to bring together the mayors of cities along the Silk Road, for further communication and cooperation.

“We thank the scientists of the People’s Republic of China, the Russian Federation and 30 other countries for the support. We propose to continue the trend of bringing representatives of different fields together for cooperation,” Nugerbekov said, {Global Times} reported today.

There is also a proposal that the Silk Road Science Academy created in Kazakhstan will seek to unite experts of the Silk Road countries engaged in various fields.


Esper: Leaks Hurt U.S. National Security — No Evidence of Russian “Bounties”

Secretary of Defense Mark Esper and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley, appearing before the House Armed Services Committee Thursday, were bombarded with questions about the so-called bounty-gate affair, in which Russian military intelligence was claimed to have paid bounties to the Taliban to kill U.S. troops in Afghanistan. While both men vowed to protect American troops, Esper saved his most impassioned words to rail against leaks to the media. “We are aggressively pursuing leaks within the Defense Department,” he said. “I”ve launched an investigation that is under way to go after leaks, whether it”s of classified information or unclassified information that is sensitive, and also unauthorized discussions with the media. All those things, again, hurt our nation’s security. They undermine our troops, their safety. They affect our relations with other countries. They undermine our national policy. It’s bad.”

As for the alleged intelligence, Esper said “To the best of my recollection, I have not received a briefing that included the word `bounty.’” Esper was then asked where the intelligence on Russian bounties came from, to which he replied: “It was not produced by a DoD intelligence agency.” Later in the hearing, Esper said [https://thehill.com/policy/defense/506641-top-general-vows-to-get-to-the-bottom-of-russia-bounty-intel] that he was briefed on intelligence about “payments” to militants. Esper said he was first made aware of the intelligence at issue in February. Gen. Frank McKenzie, commander of U.S. Central Command, and Gen. Scott Miller, the top U.S. general in Afghanistan, were aware as early as January, Esper said, adding “neither thought the reports were credible as they dug into them.”

Milley, for his part, vowed to “get to the bottom” of the alleged intelligence reporting and pledged his “1000 percent commitment” to sufficiently protecting U.S. forces. Milley later called the bounties a “unique, discrete piece of information that is not corroborated,” but said Pentagon officials “are taking it serious, we’re going to get to the bottom of it, we”re going to find out if in fact it’s true, and if it is true, we will take action.”


An Outline for Saving Our Students, Educators, and Their Families

July 27, 2020

by Stanley Ezrol

We want to hear from you!
Please send your thoughts, suggestions and indicate how you can help us initiate a discussion to implement our plan to save the schools.
Please write to: stanleyezrol@larouchepub.com

There is much heated discussion about how the United States school system can function under conditions of pandemic infection.  The pandemic is the result of undermining the world’s national health systems over the last 50 to 75 years, combined with the failure to institute the post-World War II global recovery that President Franklin Roosevelt had designed as the immediate task of the post-War world. 

Nothing we can do within the education system can fix this.  What is necessary is a total overhaul of the planet’s economic systems.  The LaRouche Political Action Committee (LPAC) has issued, The LaRouche Plan to Reopen the U.S. Economy: The World Needs 1.5 Billion New, Productive JobsRussia’s President Vladimir Putin has secured the agreement of the heads of state of the other four permanent members (P5) of the United Nations Security Council to participate in a summit in the near future to discuss the perilous situation we all confront as the four horsemen of the Apocalypse are growing in strength.  Those five nations, acting in concert, can lead in reversing our current disaster.  Helga-Zepp LaRouche has issued a call that this summit be held immediately, and no later than early September, to avoid total chaos and disaster.

COVID-19 attacks our school systems based on infection from the general population.  In the absence of efficient medical control of the virus, intensive testing, contact tracing, physical prevention of infection through social distancing, protective masks and other means, sanitary measures including hand-washing, and ventilation to dilute infected interior air with fresh air using anti-viral filters, including ultraviolet treatment are among the methods that must be in use in all “hot-spot” areas, as well as in our schools.  It has been demonstrated that in nations where these measures were strictly implemented and supported by cultural norms including shared responsibility for the future, the pandemic has been effectively shut down.

The costs involved are well beyond anything now contemplated in our budgets.  To re-open our schools and the rest of our economy safely and effectively, we have to abandon the failed attempts to shore up our bankrupt financial institutions with funding counted in trillions of dollars, and restore a commitment to the General Welfare, as emphasized by the Declaration of Independence (under the title, “Common Good”), and Constitution. Contrary to claims made in the name of liberty, the U.S. Constitution and subsidiary laws do not legalize the spread of deadly viruses.  It is criminal to tolerate that kind of deadly attack against the people of the world, and we must not respect this vicious idea.

The purpose of this report is to focus collaborative discussion among students, educators, parents, healthcare providers and researchers, and others, not about what we think is possible under current constraints, but what is both possible and necessary if we mobilize the most advanced ideas we can to ensure that education is safe for students, their families, and the teaching and other staff.  While focusing on the education system, we must also fight for the necessary improvements in our overall approach to containing the pandemic and expanding the productivity of our economy.

Most districts have been considering some mix of distance (virtual) learning and in-person classroom education. Virtual learning prevents transmission through the school system.  Unfortunately, many families depend on all adults in the household working during the day, who cannot leave their children at home alone without risking difficulties of many different kinds. Children of impoverished families, immigrants with poor mastery of English, grade school students, and others, often cannot benefit from online instruction for various reasons including inability to afford high speed internet connections and the required computer equipment.  Some districts have taken steps to equip these students, with varying degrees of success.

As the pandemic is growing out of control in the United States, most districts are turning to virtual learning despite stern injunctions from the President and Secretary of Education.  Many have not yet made their decisions.  As of mid-July, at least 18 states were considered “red zones,” including some of the most populous—California, Florida and Texas. Of all the 13,500+ school districts in the nation, many districts in these red zone states are in the forefront of planning to start the school year with entirely remote learning, whether they want to or not. The largest of these states—California–has some 1,000 districts. The first and second biggest school districts in the state—Los Angeles (2nd largest in the nation) and San Diego, have already announced  they will start the school year with all on-line learning, because of the immediate safety issues. (Together L.A. and San Diego have over 800,000 students). 

On July 21, four large counties in the Washington, D.C. area (Arlington, Loudoun, and Fairfax in Virginia, and Montgomery in Maryland), that had decided to offer an in-person learning option and received parents’ choices for either virtual or in-person learning, announced, after lengthy school board debate, that they were withdrawing the in-person option.  The reasons given were that they could not confidently ensure the safety of students and staff, and that many teachers refused to teach in-person and requested leaves of absence, resigned, or retired.

As of July 20, the 1.1 million student, 1,800 school New York City district, the nation’s largest, has not announced reopening plans.  It has been considering offering parents various options combining online and in-person schooling.  New York’s governor, Andrew Cuomo, has threatened that, based on level of compliance with health safety guidelines in N.Y.C., he may delay or modify the reopening.

D.C. School District officials said on July 16 that they will not announce their decision on what to do about their schools until July 31, and it will be dependent on the D.C. Department of Health’s evaluation of the virus in the Washington Metropolitan area.

Unfortunately, although the virtual option, given the lack of preparation,  will probably reduce the spread of the virus, it will not provide free and appropriate public education (FAPE) to all of our students.

For that reason, the President is correct in seeking full school re-opening, but we cannot re-open the schools to turn them into death traps as the overly hasty reopening of businesses and recreation activities has created.  We are now launching a campaign to institute measures that will safely fulfill our responsibility to FAPE.

What Must We Do?

In the context of all-out mitigation enforcement nationally, the following measures should be under consideration depending on the specific requirements of each locale, district and school.  There is no one-size-fits-all solution.  Districts in areas of low infection may have to make fairly minor changes to their practices to safely re-open.  As you will see below, we have many school buildings that do not even meet minimum requirements for normal functioning, let alone coping with the pandemic we now confront.  Our system of funding schools locally has created enormous differences in readiness.  The “Matthew Effect” (the rich get richer and the poor get poorer) must finally be driven out of our system.

While recognizing flexibility of choice, it is still necessary that there be an appropriate level of screening for the disease everywhere to guarantee that potential outbreaks are  rapidly quashed.

1. Test, sanitize, and, where required, isolate students and staff

In 2019 there were 56.6 million elementary and secondary school pupils nationwide, and a roster of some 8 million educators and other school staff. There were 5.8 million private school students and 50.6 million public.  The public school population included 35.5 million students pre-K to 8, and 15.3 million in high school. These define the parameters of required testing to start school.

One estimate of the extra cost per pupil for the 2020-2021 school year, as reported by Randi Weingarten, president of the American Federation of Teachers (AFT) is $2,300, to cover the testing and monitoring (temperature checks, etc.), and also the extra cleaning and sanitizing requirements.  The cost of actual viral testing alone has been estimated at $1,000 per student.  The cost for all 50.6 million public students at $2,300 each, would be $116 billion. 

Personnel will not catch COVID-19 in school if the infected are, depending on the severity of their illness, placed in isolation from healthy students or in medical treatment facilities.  Everyone entering a school building should be effectively sanitized of the virus.  In counties with a low incidence of infection, inexpensive means like frequent (possibly several times per day) screening for fever and checking for symptoms including coughing and shortness of breath are used and can keep the spread of infection under control.

In areas of the United States with high infection rates, actual testing for the virus must be used to prevent large numbers of asymptomatic but infected people from infecting others.  The more frequently the testing is done and the more rapidly the results are returned and acted upon, the safer the environment.  Ideally, testing on the way into and out of school, and, possibly more frequently, including surveillance testing, would be the best thing to do.  A source who has studied the different tests currently in use reports that the Abbott laboratory test with a 15-minute turn around would be difficult to use in schools.  

Health officials in each locale should plan testing and re-testing routines based on the density of infection and other factors. Testing all personnel on average once every two weeks is in the range that would work.

Districts in high density infection areas might find that testing several days before school opening, followed by periodic testing with the same delay factor, might provide adequate screening.  If adequate testing is not possible, schools should not re-open.

A rough estimate of the annual (40 week) requirement would be to multiply the equipment, supplies, and labor effort required per test by 20.

Few public school districts have proposed this kind of testing for their students due to lack of resources.  On Monday, July 13, every West Point cadet was tested for COVID-19 on arrival.  Those who tested positive, and a dozen or so did, were tracked into beginning their training in isolation.  Similar regimens are followed at the other service academies and training programs.  If we can make that effort for the well-being of those who serve in the armed forces, we ought to be able to take the same quality approach to make sure our future cadets, industrial workers, engineers, scientists, astronauts, educators, artists, classical musicians, and geniuses of all varieties survive to realize their great potential gifts to the future.

In China, South Korea, and other locations, at least some schools require those entering to go through a routine series of steps including getting a fresh protective mask, disinfecting the soles of their shoes, disinfecting their clothing, and screening for the virus directly or for symptoms.  Full plastic face shields should be considered to provide better protection than a cloth mask alone.

The requirements for this are one disposable mask per day for each person, plus the cost of disinfectant.

Some jurisdictions have proposed that parents report on their children’s symptoms, even though they understand that this is unreliable due both to the parents’ difficulties and the large proportion of asymptomatic cases of infection.

At this point, it is difficult to estimate what level of infection has to be prepared for in school.  It might be the case that if what seems to be an expensive approach to bringing in the healthy students and isolating the infected is taken, we can be more relaxed about what goes on among the healthy majority of students.  Measures taken in isolation areas might have to be more rigorous than what we describe here, but, hopefully, that would affect a small minority of the students and educators.

2. Renovate school facilities

In the same spirit with which nations built new medical facilities to cope with COVID-19 patients, schools must be upgraded to keep students safe.  This should include:

Providing “intake” areas to go through the screening and sanitizing routine.

Include isolation and treatment areas to manage personnel suspected of infection who have arrived at school.

Increase instructional and other space to allow for the necessary social distancing.  As noted above, if infected personnel can be effectively restricted, the school areas may not require the rigor described here.  Isolation areas will require greater rigor.  The sooner we implement Chinese/South Korean-style mitigation among the people at large, the sooner we will be able to streamline what we do in schools.  That said, doubling the distance between students from approximately three feet to six feet, means, depending on the configuration of each classroom, multiplying the area used per student by approximately four.  For schools now at, near, or beyond expected capacity, as most are, that is a lot of temporary or permanent building that must be done.  Extra space might be provided by modern temporary structures such as hoop buildings where the climate allows.  Schools may be able to extend instructional space into areas like cafeterias or gymnasiums that might not be used for the duration of the pandemic.

Provide sanitary requirements including available running warm water and soap, proper hand sanitizer at every classroom entrance/exit, office, and at stations throughout the school.

Aids to help prohibit transmission, including items such as plexiglass desk separators against transmission by breathing or talking, as used in South Korea and China, should be considered.  Separators come in various sizes and cost approximately $25.00 per desk.  They certainly add some protection to cloth masks, but it is not clear how much.  In order to be an effective “sneeze guard,” they should be more than 20 inches tall on three sides.

Depending on the number of personnel, their arrival schedules, and how much time is allotted for intake (30 minutes is the length of time during which we can expect students to arrive prior to the bell.)  If we estimate 15 seconds between each person to maintain distancing, that means, 120 people can enter through each line in 30 minutes.  That would mean that 10 lines are required to service 1200 people.  That seems like a lot, but modestly large school cafeterias may have six to 10 food lines.  Each line would require 3 – 5 staff to process everyone through, which would mean 30 – 50 staff on intake processing.  This could be changed by allowing more time, for intake.  Experimentation with different approaches might help discover efficiencies.

Unfortunately, our nation’s 13,500 school systems, including approximately 100,000 installations, needs extensive upgrading even without considering the special work that has to be done for pandemic-proofing. The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) most recent (2017) “report card,” gave our school systems a grade of D+.  They estimated underfunding of normal operations and maintenance at $38 billion per year.  Of permanent structures at these facilities, 24% were rated “fair” or “poor.”  If the 31% of installations including temporary structures to accommodate rapid expansion are considered, 45% of installations are rated “fair” or “poor.” Many of these “temporary” structures are rapidly deteriorating after a decade or more of service. Fifty-three percent of school facilities require modernization or renovation to be put into “good” condition.  Windows, plumbing, or air-conditioning, all systems important to COVID-proofing are rated “fair” or “poor” in 30% of public-school facilities.  Four out of ten schools do not even have long-term plans in place to do the necessary improvements.  ASCE estimates that schools spent $49 billion per year on their facilities between 2011 and 2013, but needed to spend an additional $58 billion per year for current maintenance plus $77 billion to cover deferred maintenance, and $10 billion to accommodate expected expansion.

If we make the fair assumption that that picture has not drastically changed since the 2017 report, that means that school facilities expenditures would exceed budgeted costs by $145 billion, without even providing for the special needs of the pandemic.  As of now, the Federal Government provides almost no funding for school facilities.  We do not have a break-down on how much of the routine maintenance and upgrading cost consists of items necessary in the pandemic situation, but as a rough figure, we can estimate the cost will be in the range of $145 billion, and that will not even bring all school facilities up to a “good” rating.

3. School Activities

Decisions must be made on how to do things and how to provide the facilities and staffing necessary to do them.

Cafeterias.  In U.S. schools these are often the rooms where closely packed students let loose for 30 minutes with shouting, shows of anger and affection, occasional food fights, and other things good for the virus and bad for the students.  Many districts have decided to close cafeterias and ask each student to bring their own food and eat it in their classroom.  This leaves open the problem of feeding students who are on school breakfast or lunch programs because their families cannot otherwise afford to feed them.  Variants include letting students pick up lunch in the cafeteria, but eat in a more controlled setting.  As the calculation for intake lines teaches us, social distancing slows down any line.  Normal school cafeteria lines leave about two inches between students, and that is totally unacceptable.  Students bringing lunch, or serving students from rolling carts or the equivalent are probably more efficient approaches.

Athletics.  Athletic activities including training and competitive sports are highly popular.  Unfortunately, these activities involve varying levels of physical contact, heavy breathing, shouting, potential injury, and physical conflict that can promote viral transmission.  Most gymnasiums are large enough and have high enough ceilings so that, with appropriate ventilation, the air quality can be reasonably safe as long as distancing is maintained.  Smaller exercise rooms may become very unhealthy places.

Schools must assess what activities can continue, where they can take place, and whether modifications of the rules to reduce physical contact or proximity can be made.

Music and other performance arts.  These provide special difficulties because singing and loud speech carry a heavier viral load than normal breathing and talking.  Large choruses, orchestras, and crowded stages are best avoided.  Spacing in properly sized indoor rooms can be relatively safe.  “Band in a tent” can be set up out-doors in good weather.  The open sides allow air circulation and reduces the viral load.

4. Care of School Facilities

Restrooms, hallways, classrooms, desks, computers and other equipment, floors, walls, trash cans, and other areas, furnishings, and equipment, must be sanitized frequently.  In late grade school and secondary school, students can be assigned to take care of these chores in the classroom, but this will involve a large increase in the non-educator staff, possibly a doubling.

5. Transportation

Our students depend on bus transportation to school.  School buses are often crowded and poorly ventilated.  Without reducing the number of students coming to school daily, school bus fleets will have to be expanded and, in part, replaced.  The buses should be well ventilated and roomy enough to accommodate spacing.

The requirements of building to the necessary level depend on the quality and quantity of the existing transit fleet.  Doubling the fleet to accommodate necessary distancing may be adequate.

Facilities for parent drop-off and pick-up of students must access an appropriate intake area.

6. Personnel

Routine levels of school staffing will not be sufficient to guarantee that mitigation measures agreed upon will be enforced.  This may require a doubling of school staff, including instructional assistants, counselors, and health care providers.

Whereas schools may now be staffed with approximately one LPN or equivalent per 1,000 students, more highly-trained personnel and medical assistants are required to deal with potential pandemic outbreaks, maintain isolation of the infected and those under observation for possible infection.  Two medical staff per 1,000 students would mean 100,000 medical staff nationally.

The overall average number of students to teachers nationally is approximately one teacher for every sixteen students.  This average, however, has to be considered carefully.  Typical academic classes may have 25 to 30 or more students and one teacher.  Special needs classes, elective classes, and some advanced classes may have as few as three or four  students.

Given the critical nature of following behavior guidelines to prevent the spread of a deadly virus, we need at least one educator for every ten students in class.  We do not have fine grain data that would make it possible to provide anything more than a rough estimate of personnel requirements.  Currently, there are approximately 3.1 million teachers and 1.7 instructional assistants serving the  50.6 million public school students in the nation.  This gives us an average of 1 instructional employee for every 10.5 students.  That is a ratio that should work, except that some teachers will be in much smaller classes than that.  As a rough estimate, we should assume that we will need 4.6 million teachers and 2.5 million instructional assistants.  This would mean  enlarging the pool of potential recruits significantly.

Another factor is that there are many teachers who, due to age or other health complications, are at a higher risk of COVID-19 infection than others.  Some number of these teachers will take extended leave or resign rather than risk infection in the classroom.  The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) reports that as of 2012, 18.8% of teachers were over 55 years old.  This is a reasonable estimate of the number of teachers who, due to age, other health conditions, or other reasons to avoid teaching, might not return to the classroom.  That would add an additional 9.5 million teachers to be replaced.  We do not have similar data on age for instructional assistants, who are generally paid in the range of $15.00 per hour.  Both younger people on their way toward full teaching positions, or other career choices, and older people, possibly following a teaching or other career, tend to take these positions.  It would be reasonable to expect that a significant portion of these individuals would not want to risk direct contact with infected students at that pay level, especially if they had special health concerns.

Hallways, particularly if, as is generally done, secondary students change classrooms during the day, are generally monitored only to keep the traffic moving and avoid fights.  Students and staff will have to get used to avoiding friendly chats, and other previously innocent behavior. 

The maintenance staff must be able to take care of the added burden of keeping everything sanitized.

Traditionally, school buses are staffed only by a driver in normal situations.  To be able to maintain distancing, use of masks, and avoidance of shouting, and other virus spreaders, one or more bus aides should be added, depending on the number and behavioral profile of the students.  Since school bus driving is generally a low paid part-time hourly function, many drivers are semi-retired or hoping to move into a better position.  A video made by the Roanoke County Virginia school system pointed out that half of that County’s bus drivers are older than 65.  They have good reason to not return to their positions next year.

The predicament of low-paid non-teaching school staff in this situation might force a decision to provide a living wage for these often very dedicated and underappreciated workers in education. 

Conclusion

We can have safe school attendance, but only if we are making the whole world safe and prosperous.  Investment must be shifted from salvaging financial concerns that produce nothing for the economy into growing the economy quantitatively, and qualitatively, as the LaRouche plan explains.  The education system is long overdue to receive resources proportionate to the importance of its role in building our future, and many or our major financial institutions that have reaped the benefits of government finance are long overdue for bankruptcy.

We want to hear from you!
Please send your thoughts, suggestions and indicate how you can help work with us to initiate a discussion about our plan to save the schools.
Please write to: stanleyezrol@larouchepub.com


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